Thursday, April 20, 2006

Food for Thought

Here in Mukilteo one of the big questions on everyone's mind centers around the Multi-Modal Transportation Hub that is being built down on our waterfront. The idea is to tie the ferry terminal, buses and our new Sounder commuter train together in one station, thereby improving the ease of commute for residents in the area.

Jay Inslee, our state representative, discussed the issue at today's Mukilteo Chamber meeting. Rep. Inslee has been a big supporter of this transportation hub, as am I, so it was interesting to hear what he had to say about it. He also talked about his Apollo Energy Bill which is a multi-pronged approach to helping break America's dependence on fossil fuels.

As Inslee said, American dependence on fossil fuels isn't just an economic issue it's also a security issue, as it makes us susceptible to the slings and arrows of whatever happens to be going on over in the Middle East. Inslee sees transportation, energy and security as intertwined and to solve any one of them, you have to solve all three.

I'm not meaning to get all political here, the point I am trying to make is that as gas prices top $3.00 a gallon I hope we will see a better, more integrated approach to energy and transportation policy as well as sustainable living. The reality of the matter is that high housing prices and quality of living issues do mean that a large proportion of the population will choose or be forced to live a long distance from work, which is not bad in and of itself. What is bad, is having those individuals make that commute in individual vehicles, which in many cases are not fuel efficient and emit large amounts of greenhouse gases.

Later on, I was asked by one of the chamber members if I thought there was a "bubble" in the real estate market. My response was that I didn't think that what we are seeing this year is a bubble bursting, at least not here in this area. We have a good hiring market and a limited amount of land to work with, so that insulates us somewhat from any real "bursting." But what I have seen is a softening of the market at least as compared with last year.

I also told her that I thought it was a good thing too, because affordability is starting to become a real issue. The kinds of rises in home prices that we have seen in recent years cannot be sustained forever or it becomes impossible for first-time buyers or those who are not wealthy to purchase a home. Which is a little bit of a self-fulfilling thing, given that home-ownership is the best way there is to build wealth--it's kind of like how you can't get a job until you've had a job!

So, a slight softening is a good thing. If the market never does anything but go up, eventually it prices out everyone but the rich. It's better in the long run to see things return to a more "sane" and businesslike environment. Better for buyers, and ultimately better for sellers too (as sellers in their turn are also buyers!)

That's all for now...it's good to be back!

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